Archive for 12th November 2009

Deuces wild???

November 12, 2009, 11:08 pm

As a baseball loving youth, I remember with great fondness watching and listening to baseball as called by the voice of baseball, Vin Scully, who is unquestionably one of the greatest baseball announcers.

One thing I can always remember him saying during his calls was “deuces wild”, which he used to describe a situation that occurs with a count of 2 balls, 2 strikes, and 2 outs.

So, I figured I would take a look at the raw statistics and see how often the deuces wild situation actually came up.  Here is the code from my Program.cs file:

using System;
using System.Collections.Generic;
using System.Linq;
 
namespace RetrosheetReader
{
    class Program
    {
        static List<Team> teamList;
        static List<Player> playerList;
        static List<Event> eventList;
 
        const string DATA = "c:\\baseball_data\\";
 
        static void Main(string[] args)
        {
            Console.WriteLine("Retrosheet Reader");
            Console.WriteLine();
 
            teamList = Team.GetTeamList(DATA);
            playerList = Player.GetPlayerList(DATA);
            eventList = Event.GetEventList(DATA);
 
            Console.WriteLine("Number of teams: " + teamList.Count().ToString());
            Console.WriteLine("Number of players: " + playerList.Count().ToString());
            Console.WriteLine("Number of events: " + eventList.Count().ToString());
 
            int[, ,] pitchCount = new int[4, 3, 3];
            int balls, strikes, totalPitches;
 
            totalPitches = 0;
            foreach (var ev in eventList)
            {
                balls = 0;
                strikes = 0;
                foreach (char c in ev.pitchSequence)
                {
                    if (Functions.IsBallOrStrike(c))
                    {
                        if (balls < 0 || balls > 3)
                        {
                            Console.WriteLine("Illegal number of balls (" + balls.ToString() + ") in pitch sequence " + ev.pitchSequence);
                        }
                        else
                        {
                            pitchCount[balls, strikes, ev.outs]++;
                            totalPitches++;
                            if (Functions.IsStrike(c))
                            {
                                if (strikes == 2)
                                {
                                    if (!Functions.IsFoul(c))
                                        strikes++;
                                }
                                else
                                    strikes++;
                            }
                            else
                            {
                                balls++;
                            }
                        }
                    }
                }
            }
 
            Console.WriteLine("Total pitches: " + totalPitches.ToString());
            for (int o = 0; o < 3; o++)
                for (int s = 0; s < 3; s++)
                    for (int b = 0; b < 4; b++)
                        Console.WriteLine(String.Format("Total pitches on B{0}-S{1}-O{2}: {3,8}  ({4,6:P})", b, s, o, pitchCount[b, s, o],
                                                    pitchCount[b, s, o] * 1.0 / totalPitches));
 
            Console.WriteLine();
            Console.Write("Strike any key to end...");
            Console.ReadKey();
        }
    }
}

By the way, there is a new Functions.cs file in the project that contains utility functions, and I had to modify the Event.cs file to take into account the fact that the BEVENT application creates duplicate records for a batter if there is some kind of on-base event that happens in the middle of the at-bat, such as a stolen base or pick off.

The results? I ran the application with the 2008 season data, and found that there were 700,242 total pitches. The deuces wild situation happened on only 17,141 pitches, or 2.45%. Of course, the highest percentage occurred with 0 balls, 0 strikes, and 0 outs (the first pitch to any batters that bat in an inning before the first out is recorded, including the first batter of each inning) with 65,050 pitches, or 9.29%.

Here is the zipped up solution:

RetrosheetReader.zip

Tags: ,
Category: .NET, C#, Retrosheet  |  4 Comments